Artificial Neural Network Based Approach for short load forecasting
Rajesh Deshmukh , Amita Mahor
Abstract
Accurate models for electric power load forecasting are essential to the operation and planning of a power utility company. Load forecasting helps electric utility to make important decisions on trading of power, load switching, and infrastructure development. Load forecasts are extremely important for power utilizes ISOs, financial institutions, and other stakeholder of power sector. Short term load forecasting is a essential part of electric power system planning and operation forecasting made for unit commitment and security assessment, which have a direct impact on operational casts and system security. Conventional ANN based load forecasting method deal with 24 hour ahead load forecasting by using forecasted temp. This can lead to high forecasting errors in case of rapid temperature changes. This paper present a neural network based approach for short term load forecasting considering data for training, validation and testing of neural network.
Keyword
Load forecasting, neural network, short term, correlation analysis.